President Obama blamed America’s intelligence agencies for failing to properly assess the dangers of a rising ISIS. In leaked reports, the CIA has released information suggesting that Obama was warned about ISIS increasing in strength as early as before the 2012 election. Other information leaked in the past few days suggest the President doesn’t bother attending more than half of his intelligence briefings. The public is stuck deciding who is telling the truth here because someone must be lying. Either the President was warned and made the decision not to confront ISIS while they were still weak or our intelligence services have failed to obtain the sort of intelligence necessary for the President to make a decision.
If the CIA is wrong, if they failed to properly assess the growing strength of ISIS this is a major problem. The CIA was already wrong on Iraq’s WMD’s a decade ago. It was their warnings, as well as warnings from Britain’s MI6, that led to the Iraq War. Iraq didn’t have WMD’s in mass quantities and if the CIA is wrong here they once again failed to figure out what is actually happening on the ground. It begs the question what the point of having an intelligence service is when they’re either outright wrong or fail to figure out what’s actually going on. If the CIA didn’t figure out what was going on with ISIS, it begs the question why Obama is listening to them now. After all, he’s relying on CIA reports about ISIS positions in Syria in order to bomb them. Why are we dropping bombs if the CIA can’t be trusted to figure anything out?
On the other hand it’s entirely possible that Obama is lying about the CIA not figuring things out about ISIS. In this case, it’s likely he ignored the problem in favor of focusing on more domestic matters. If the CIA warned him before the 2012 election about ISIS, it makes one wonder why in 2013 the President was willing to support ISIS interests by attacking Assad in Syria. After all, ISIS wants to get rid of Assad. Does the President not trust reports he receives from the CIA? If so, why not? If he has a history of not trusting the CIA’s reports, why is he relying on them now to bomb ISIS targets in Syria? Why has he trusted CIA reports to bomb al Qaeda targets via drone for the last six years? If the President didn’t believe the CIA reports, he’s covering his tracks now. On the other hand, if the CIA wasn’t on top of ISIS they’re completely incompetent. Even the media had reports about ISIS long before the beheadings made it popular to support action against them.
Obama throwing the CIA under the bus has left us with a lot of questions and not many answers. If Obama truly wasn’t informed about ISIS, if the CIA really had no idea this group was becoming a threat then we’ve got a big problem on our hands. Why are we sending bombs into Syria based in CIA intelligence that shouldn’t be trusted? How can we trust the CIA to know what’s going on in the world’s danger zones when they can’t get this one right? On the other hand, if the CIA did warn Obama then we’re looking at another two years with a President who doesn’t pay attention to his daily intelligence briefings. It makes you wonder how much thought he’s put in to our nation’s attacks on ISIS. Is he bombing ISIS because it’s politically expedient to do so or is he doing it because he really believes in the cause? If it’s the former, the bombings will cease after the election.
At this point it isn’t clear which side is telling the truth. Obama clearly threw his intelligence services under the bus when he accused them of dropping the ball on ISIS. The intelligence community responded as one would expect them to do, they leaked negative stories about Obama concerning intelligence briefings. It isn’t clear who is telling the truth, perhaps neither deserve the benefit of the doubt. What we can do is note that Obama’s position concerning Syria has been inconsistent over the last two years. He drew a red line against Assad and in August and September of 2013 he threatened to bomb Syria, thus helping the ISIS rebels cause. Did the President not consider the danger of ISIS in 2013 because he wasn’t paying attention or because he wasn’t warned? Did the CIA warn him about ISIS at the time. Why the sudden shift against ISIS and thus in favor of Assad in September 2014? We seem to be switching sides on a moments notice. Is this all Obama or is it the result of poor intelligence? It just isn’t clear right now.